Browsing Posts in Article Summaries

Stock Market Summary – Easy Street (Apr 20, 2012)

On a regular basis, I want to take a stock market summary article written by the many sources out there each day and translate it into “Easy” language for you.  Today, we’ll take a look at Briefing.com’s wrapup of the day’s activities - Weak Finish

An afternoon descent dashed gains and left stocks to settle at session lows. Still, the S&P 500 was able to cling to a fractional gain after logging losses in the two previous sessions.

Easy Translation: The “session lows” refers to the lowest level during today’s trading session.  In other words, most of the broad measures of stock market activity today – indexes like the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and the NASDAQ composite – finished at the lowest point they ever hit during the day.  That doesn’t mean they were down versus yesterday though.  In fact, only the NASDAQ was down – the other two finished higher.  But a weak finish to the day is often a sign of weakness.  Most of the trading usually happens when the day starts and right before it ends.  So, possibly the most accurate indicators of how buyers and sellers were feeling can be determined by examining those two periods.  Today, the opening was somewhat positive, but the close was more of a negative note.  But the end result was a day where the broadest measure of the three (S&P 500) finished higher than it closed yesterday – always a good thing. continue reading…

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On a regular basis, I want to take a market summary article written by the many sources out there each day and translate it into “Easy” language for you.  Today, we’ll take a look at Briefing.com’s wrapup of the day’s activities - Strong Finish to Best Week in More Than Two Years

The S&P 500 overcame resistance on Friday to score another strong gain, contributing to the broad market’s best weekly performance since July 2009.

Easy Translation: Believers of technical analysis talk a lot about areas of support and resistance.  They believe that there are price levels at which buyers will rush in and overwhelm sellers (support) and other levels where sellers will overwhelm buyers (resistance).  Today, the S&P 500 moved up and broke through a resistance level, which signified to many that there is a real rally going on here, at least from a psychological standpoint.  Whether it’s supported by the facts of the underlying economy or not, right now buyers are in control.  The gain in the stock market averages this week were higher than during any week since July 2009. continue reading…

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Every week, there is a ton of economic data from numerous sources.  As they come out, you can read about most of them at Calculated Risk.  But it’s also nice to see the weekly summary of the data to help put things in perspective.  I’d like to review this week’s summary article with you but with some added language “Easy” style.  The first section of the article is the perspective and analysis, and that’s what I want to break down for you.  The rest of it is about individual reports and charts/graphs.  You can view that on your own.  Here’s a link to the article that I’m highlighting below:

The U.S. economic data was still fairly weak last week, but the data was mostly better than expected. Of course the European financial crisis dominated the headlines, and the next few weeks will be critical in Europe.

Easy Translation: Although the actual data released wasn’t indicative of a very healthy economy, at least it wasn’t any worse than expected.  For a refresher on why expectations matter, check out my Easy Intro on the topic.  The crisis going on in Europe continues to be the biggest thing on investors’ minds.  To recap, several countries (most notably Greece) are increasingly at risk of failing to meet their repayment obligations on loans.  If this were to happen, banks that had loaned them that money may end up failing, and the failures could spread in the region – and in a worst case scenario, it could lead to contagion reaching around the world.  Basically, some people fear another financial crisis like the one in 2008 could hit if defaults were to begin. continue reading…

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From Calculated Risk today:

Based on an estimate from Autodata Corp, light vehicle sales were at a 13.1 million SAAR in September. That is up 11.2% from September 2010, and up 8.3% from the sales rate last month (12.1 million SAAR in Aug 2011).  This was well above the consensus forecast of 12.6 million SAAR.

Easy Translation:  The “SAAR” refers to “seasonally adjusted annual rate.”  Let’s break it down. continue reading…

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One of my favorite weekend reads is the “Succinct Summation of Week’s Events” written by Barry Ritholtz over at The Big Picture.  It’s a list of all the important events over the last week that affected the economy, broken up into “positive” or “negative” impact.  I’d like to review this week’s list with you but with some added language “Easy” style.  Here’s a link to the article that I’m highlighting below:

Positives

Only a few more countries left to approve EFSF, moment of truth soon arriving for Greek bondholders past the debt exchange currently being done

Easy Translation: Greece is in trouble.  There is basically about a 100% chance that the Greek government will default on some of its loan obligations.  One of the ways that countries in the Eurozone (17 of the countries in Europe that work together in money matters) have decided to ensure countries in the region would be able to get aid in such situations is by setting up the EFSF (European Financial Stability Facility).  Basically, all the members of the Eurozone contribute money to this fund, which can then provide bailout money to troubled governments.  The size of the fund is in the process of growing substantially, but not all the members of the Eurozone have approved this increase yet.  It is believed to be helpful to have more aid in case a Greek default leads to defaults by other countries in succession.  The good news to which Barry is referring is that the approval of the EFSF increase in size appears to be closer now.

Greece takes another step in getting next tranche with property tax hike

Easy Translation: As part of the agreement to getting a bunch of loans, the Greek government is supposed to make drastic cuts in its budget and/or find ways to increase tax revenue.  They approved a big property tax hike this week, which helps this cause.

Chicago PMI surprises to upside likely led by auto sector continue reading…

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One of my favorite economics sites is Global Economic Intersection, and at the end of each week, they do a great weekly highlights post.  It discusses their current view of things, often with a preview of what’s to come in the week ahead, and they also include a table with links to the key articles from the week.  I’d like to review this week’s table and brief summary of what each article said but with some added language “Easy” style.  The main article is Will The Week Ahead Give Recession Indications? written by Steven Hansen, but each of the links below is for articles written by various authors.

Recession Flag: US Equities Markets (Steven Hansen)

Easy Translation: Since 1990, only six times has the S&P 500 index moved below where it closed a year before.  Out of those six times, three times it led to a recession.  Twice it did not lead to a recession.  And the sixth time is now.  We don’t know what will happen for sure, but it’s certainly not comforting to know we’ve had recessions 60% of the last five times this has happened.

Fact Check: Does Buffett Really Pay Less Taxes than his secretary? (Mark J. Perry, PhD)

Easy Translation: Famous billionaire, Warren Buffett, was famously quoted as saying that his secretary paid a higher rate on her taxes than he did, and that this is not fair.  In response, President Obama recently announced a proposed “Buffett Tax” that would ensure rich people would not pay a lower rate on their federal taxes than lower income workers.  However, this article cites evidence that was also quoted by many other sources that higher-income individuals pay a much higher federal income tax rate than those with lower incomes.  It would seem that Mr. Buffett’s comments are simply not fact based.  But they sure made for some great headlines and editorial responses.

August Leading Economic Indicator:  Now Going Up Half as Fast (Steven Hansen)

continue reading…

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